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-18th International Gold Price ¡è 0.24%
-Today's Gold Price (Korea Gold Exchange ¡è 0.21%¡è, Korea Exchange-KRX ¡è 0.07%¡è)
The international gold price has once again broken its all-time intraday high. The U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate cut and heightened tensions in the Middle East have pushed up the gold price.
On Wednesday (18th, local time), the price of gold futures for December this year on the New York Mercantile Exchange closed at $2,598.60 per ounce, up 0.24% ($6.2) from the previous trading day.
The gold price rebounded after three trading days. At one point during the session, the gold price expanded its upward trend to $2.627.20 per ounce, breaking its all-time high. The previous intraday high was $2,617.40 recorded on the 16th.
The rise in gold prices was due to the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 0.50%p and the decline in the dollar. Interest rates and the decline in the dollar are favorable factors for gold, as they lower the opportunity cost of holding non-interest bearing gold and stimulate overseas buyers' buying sentiment by lowering the perceived price of gold, which is usually traded in dollars.
At the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) that ended on this day, the Fed decided to make a 'big cut' in interest rates and began its first easing of monetary policy in 4 years and 6 months since March 2020, the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. There was a fierce debate over the rate cut rate until the end, whether it should be 25bp or 50bp, but Fed officials ultimately chose 50bp by a vote of 11 to 1.
As a result, the US benchmark interest rate was lowered from 5.25-5.50%, the highest level in 20 years, to 4.75-5.00%.
The Fed aggressively raised interest rates from March 2022 to July of last year, and then froze them for eight consecutive times from September of last year to July of this year.
Fed officials indicated through the September FOMC dot plot that they would further cut the benchmark interest rate by 50bp within the year and by 100bp next year.
They stated in a statement that they were "confident that inflation is cruising toward 2% and that the risks to achieving the employment and inflation goals are broadly balanced."
In a subsequent press conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell explained the background of the big cut as "lowering inflation" and "continued cooling of the job market," and said that "the 50bp cut was the right choice."
Chairman Powell emphasized the big cut as a "preemptive response," and said that the Fed would not continue to take an aggressive stance in the future just because it decided to cut 50bp this time.
He tried to calm concerns that the big cut was made because the U.S. economy was in trouble, saying, "There are no signs of a possible recession anywhere."
He added, "We will proceed cautiously and, if necessary, we may slow down the pace of interest rate cuts," and "We will not return to the era of ultra-low interest rates."
The geopolitical crisis in the Middle East also supported gold prices. Gold is considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
Hundreds of radio pagers, mainly used by the pro-Iran militant group Hezbollah, exploded simultaneously across Lebanon, causing nearly 3,000 casualties.
Hezbollah pointed to Israel as the perpetrator and vowed to retaliate.
Analysis suggests that the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, which has been exchanging arms for about a year since the outbreak of the Gaza War, is likely to escalate into an all-out war.
Robert Minter, investment strategy director at abrdn, told Kitco News that it is only a matter of time before gold reaches $3,000 an ounce.
¡°The FOMC started the gold party today with a 50bp cut, and this is the first of what will be another 50bp cut by the end of 2024, another 100bp in 2025, and another 50bp in 2026,¡± he said. ¡°Historically, a rate cut cycle has led to increased demand for gold from investors and ETF buyers. However, this time, demand from central banks and demand for physical gold from China and India, the world's largest retail gold markets, are also high," he explained.
Meanwhile, the spot gold price rose 0.9% to $2,592.39 per ounce as of 2:17 p.m. Eastern Standard Time (5:17 p.m. GMT). The spot silver price rose 0.6% to $30.93 per ounce.
Platinum remained stable at $981.10 per ounce, and palladium fell 3.2% to $1,081.00.
At this time, the international gold price (London LBMA gold price as of 10 a.m.) is moving around $2,555.
Domestic gold prices also showed a slight increase as the international gold price rose. However, the decline in the won/dollar exchange rate limited the increase.
Korea Gold Exchange on the 19th According to the data, the price when consumers buy 1 don (24k, 3.75g) of pure gold is 467,000 won (including VAT), up 0.21% (1,000 won) from the previous day (as of 10:00 AM).
The price when consumers sell 1 don of pure gold is 406,000 won, up 0.25% from the previous day. The prices when selling 18k and 14k are 298,500 won and 231,500 won, up 0.27% from the previous trading day (the product price is applied when buying 18k and 14k).
In addition, the price when buying silver is 5,700 won, down 0.53% from the previous trading day, and the price when selling is 4,530 won, down 0.66%. The price when buying platinum is 181,000 won, down 1.1% from the previous day, and the price when selling is 1.37% It is 146,000 won.
The gold price at the Korea Exchange (KRX) and Shinhan Bank also rose slightly, and is being traded at around 109,000 won per gram.
The gold price at the Korea Exchange (KRX) was 109,790 won per gram, up 0.07% from the previous day's closing price (as of 10:00 AM).
The Shinhan Bank gold price was 109,575.57 won.
The won-dollar exchange rate at the Seoul Foreign Exchange Market started trading at 1,329.0 won, down 0.5 won from the previous trading day.
Detailed domestic gold price inquiries can be found on the Korea Gold Exchange and Korea Exchange (KRX) websites.
/ Reporter Joo Hong-chul jhc@kjdaily.com
ÁÖȫö ±âÀÚ jhc@kjdaily.com
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